What is expected value for the number of heads


Discussion:

1. The figure below shows the probability histogram for the total number of spots when a die is rolled eight times. The shaded area represents the chance that the total will be between__ _ and ___ (inclusive).

2029_curve.jpg

2. A coin is tossed 100 times. True or false, and explain:

(a) The expected value for the number of heads is 50.

(b) The expected value for the number of heads is 50, give or take 5 or so.

(c) The number of heads will be 50.

(d) The number of heads will be around 50, give or take 5 or so.

3. The below data contains measurements made on men involved in a physical fitness course at N.C. State University. The variables are age (years), weight (kg), oxygen intake rate (ml per kg body weight per minute), time to run 1.5 miles (minutes), heart rate while resting, heart rate while running (same time oxygen rate measured), and maximum heart rate recorded while running.

a. For the variables age and weight calculate their means and standard deviations

b. Determine whether these variables are approximately normally distributed.

c. For the variables age and weight calculate a 95% confidence interval for the mean.

d. Define a new variable that classifies individuals as ‘old' or ‘young' according to whether they are below or above 43 years old. Then calculate means, standard error and a 95% confidence interval for the mean time to run 1.5 miles for both the young and the old individuals. Do they seem different to you?

e. Write a brief report of your answers.

age weight oxygen runtime rstpulse runpulse maxpulse
44 89.47 44.609 11.37 62 178 182
40 75.07 45.313 10.07 62 185 185
44 85.84 54.297 8.65 45 156 168
42 68.15 59.571 8.17 40 166 172
38 89.02 49.874 9.22 55 178 180
47 77.45 44.811 11.63 58 176 176
40 75.98 45.681 11.95 70 176 180
43 81.19 49.091 10.85 64 162 170
44 81.42 39.442 13.08 63 174 176
38 81.87 60.055 8.63 48 170 186
44 73.03 50.541 10.13 45 168 168
45 87.66 37.388 14.03 56 186 192
45 66.45 44.754 11.12 51 176 176
47 79.15 47.273 10.6 47 162 164
54 83.12 51.855 10.33 50 166 170
49 81.42 49.156 8.95 44 180 185
51 69.63 40.836 10.95 57 168 172
51 77.91 46.672 10 48 162 168
48 91.63 46.774 10.25 48 162 164
49 73.37 50.388 10.08 67 168 168
57 73.37 39.407 12.63 58 174 176
54 79.38 46.08 11.17 62 156 165
52 76.32 45.441 9.63 48 164 166
50 70.87 54.625 8.92 48 146 155
51 67.25 45.118 11.08 48 172 172
54 91.63 39.203 12.88 44 168 172
51 73.71 45.79 10.47 59 186 188
57 59.08 50.545 9.93 49 148 155
49 76.32 48.673 9.4 56 186 188
48 61.24 47.92 11.5 52 170 176
52 82.78 47.467 10.5 53 170 172

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