What decision would the pessimist make


The given payoff table gives profits based on several possible decision alternatives and different levels of demand.

State of Nature

Demand

Alternatives Low Medium High

Altv 1 80 120 140

Altv 2 90 90 90

Altv 3 50 70 150

Probability of the low demand is 0.4, where as probability of the medium and high demand is each 0.3.

i) What decision would the optimist make?

ii) What decision would the pessimist make?

iii) Find highest possible expected monetary value?

iv) Compute expected value of perfect information for given case.

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Mathematics: What decision would the pessimist make
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