Ways to determine the forecasted demand


Discuss the below:

Q1: Given the following data on the number of pints of ice cream sold at a local ice cream store for a 6-period time frame:

Period                          Demand

1                                200

2                                245

3                                190

4                                270

5                                280

6                                300

Compute a 3-period moving average for period 4.

Q2.The following data summarizes the historical demand for  a product

Month

Actual demand

March

20

April

25

May

40

June

35

July

30

August

45

Use a four period moving average and determine the forecasted demand for July and August.

Q3. The following data summarizes the historical demand for  a product

Month

Actual demand

March

20

April

25

May

40

June

35

July

30

August

45

Use exponential smoothing with  and the smoothed forecast for July is 32 and determine August and September's smoothed forecasts.

Q4. The following sales data are available for 1998-2003 inclusive:

Year             Sales

1998              7

1999              12

2000              14

2001              20

2002              16

2003              25

Determine a 4-year moving average forecast for each possible year.

Q5. Robert has the following accounts on money spent on gambling and winnings:

Money spent          Money won

1000                       2500

1200                       4000

11800                      4500

2000                        4600

 2500                       5000

2800                        4800

3500                        5600

4000                         6000

4200                         5800

7000                          X

Using linear regression, predict x.

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Basic Statistics: Ways to determine the forecasted demand
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