The TED talk given by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita entitled "Three predictions on the future of Iran". Throughout this description, De Mesquita employs game theory to describe the dynamics of interest aggregation and public policy formulation in Iran. De Mesquita then gives a prediction for where he believes Iran's policy will go.
1) Do you believe mathematical models can evaluate how parties and interests groups are aggregated?
2) What do you feel are the strengths and weaknesses of De Mesquita's evaluation?
3) Write your thoughts on Iran's future policies towards the West and nuclear weapons?