Perpetual dividend growth assumption


Problem: Joy Medical Company is a little-known producer of heart pacemakers. The earnings and dividend growth prospects of the company are disputed by analysts.

Jimmy is forecasting 5% growth in dividends indefinitely. However, Susan is predicting a 20% growth in dividends, but only for the next three years, after which the growth rate is expected to decline to 4% for the indefinite future.

Joy's dividends per share are currently $3, i.e. D0 = $3. Stocks with similar risk are currently priced to provide a 14% expected return.

Q1. What is the intrinsic value of Chief stock according to Jimmy?

Q2. What is the intrinsic value of Chief stock according to Susan?

Q3. Assume that Joy's stock now sells for $39.75 per share. If the stock is fairly priced at the present time, what is the implied perpetual dividend growth rate g ? What is the implied P/E (Price-Earnings ratio) on next year's earnings, based on this perpetual dividend growth assumption and assuming a 25% dividend payout ratio?

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Finance Basics: Perpetual dividend growth assumption
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