Pepare a forecast of sales for each day starting with f1


Question: 1. Only a portion of the following table for exponential smoothing has been completed. Complete the missing entries using α = .1.

2235_Signal.png

2. A candy store has sold the following number of pounds of candy for the past three days. Assuming α = .4, complete the following table.

476_Signal 1.png

3. A grocery store sells the following number of frozen turkeys during the week prior to Thanksgiving:

482_TS.png

a. Prepare a forecast of sales for each day, starting with F1 = 85 and α = .2.

b. Compute the MAD and the tracking signal in each period. Use MAD0 = 0.

c. On the basis of the criteria given in the text, are the MAD and tracking signal within tolerances?

d. Recompute parts a and b using α = .1, .3, and .4. Which value of α provides the best forecast?

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