Make the first forecast value equal to the actual demand


Assignment:

Question 1: For the same actual demand data above, perform a forecast using:

  • Moving average of 3 periods.
  • Exponential smoothing of (a-0.2). Make the first forecast value equal to the actual demand.
  • Sketch your results on an excel sheet (period vs. Demand and vs. forecast values)

Question 2: The demand on Samsung TVs at Xcite stores for the past 3 years is given in this table in units/season

           Year 1  Year 2  Year 3

Spring   1500    1650     1550

Summer 1000     900       850

Fall        500      600      550

Winter    200       50       220

Use seasonality indexing to forecast the values of the 4" year. Sketch both actual and forecast values using Excel.

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Operation Management: Make the first forecast value equal to the actual demand
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