Finding npv and normal distribution


Discuss the below:

Q1. Monarck King Size Beds, Inc., is evaluating a new promotional campaign that could increase sales. Possible outcomes and probabilities of the outcomes are shown below. Compute the coefficient of variation.

                                      Additional

Possible Outcomes    Sales in Units   Probabilities

Ineffective campaign . . . . . . . . 20              .20

Normal response . . . . . . . . . . . 30             .50

Extremely effective . . . . . . . . . 70              .30

Q2. Five investment alternatives have the following returns and standard deviations of returns.

Returns-              Standard

Alternative             Expected Value     Deviation

A. . . . . . . . . . .         $ 5,000                   $1,200

B. . . . . . . . . . .         4,000                      600

C. . . . . . . . . . .        4,000                       800

D. . . . . . . . . . .        8,000                       3,200

E. . . . . . . . . . .         10,000                     900

Using the coefficient of variation, rank the five alternatives from lowest risk to highest risk

Q3.If you were to choose between Alternatives B and C only, would you need to use the coefficient of variation? Why?

Q4. Waste Industries is evaluating a $70,000 project with the following cash flows.

Year Cash Flows

1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . $11,000

2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16,000

3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21,000

4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24,000

5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30,000

The coefficient of variation for the project is .847.

Based on the following table of risk-adjusted discount rates, should the project be undertaken? Select the appropriate discount rate and then compute the net present value.

Coefficient                             Discount

of Variation                            Rate

0-.25 . . . . . . . .                  6%

.26-.50 . . . . . . . .                8

.51-.75 . . . . . . . .                10

.76-1.00 . . . . . . .                 14

1.01-1.25 . . . . . . .                20

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Basic Statistics: Finding npv and normal distribution
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