Find value of project considering investment timing option


Evans Industries is considering a new product that would require an investment of $25 million at t = 0.  If the new product is well received, then the project would produce after-tax cash flows of $12.5 million at the end of each of the next 3 years (t = 1, 2, 3), but if the market did not like the product, then the cash flows would be only $5 million per year.  There is a 60% probability that the market will be good.  Evans could delay the project for a year while it conducted a test to determine if demand would be strong or weak. The project's cost and expected annual cash flows are the same whether the project is delayed or not. The project's WACC is 12%.  What is the value of the project after considering the investment timing option?

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Finance Basics: Find value of project considering investment timing option
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