Find a real-life case of base rate neglect


Question 1) Find a real-life case of base rate neglect.  This can be somewhere on the internet, on television, in print, or wherever. CITE SOURCES

Question 2) Quote the passage that you take to be a case of base rate neglect.  Cite your source sufficiently for me to find it if I want to. CITE SOURCES

Question 3) Indicate what the relevant base rate is - not the actual number, but a description of the rate.

Question 4) Indicate how your example of base rate neglect might have negative consequences.  How might people think irrationally or act unwisely on the basis of the base rate neglect you found?

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