Estimate the three multiple regression coefficients -


Problem 1:

You are given the following data based on 15 observations:

Y‾ = 367.693; X2‾ = 402.760; X‾3 = 8.0; ∑yi2 = 66,042.269

∑x2i2 = 84,855.096; ∑x3i2 = 280.0; ∑yix2i = 74,778.346

∑yix3i = 4,250.9; ∑x2ix3i = 4,796.0

where lowercase letters, as usual, denote deviations from sample mean values.

a. Estimate the three multiple regression coefficients.

b. Estimate their standard errors.

c. Obtain R2 and R‾2.

d. Estimate 95% confidence intervals for B2 and B3.

e. Test the statistical significance of each estimated regression coefficient using α = 5% (two-tail).

f. Test at α = 5% that all partial slope coefficients are equal to zero. Show the ANOVA table.

Problem 2:

Table 4-7 (found on the textbook's Web site) gives data on child mortality (CM), female literacy rate (FLR), per capita GNP (PGNP), and total fertility rate (TFR) for a group of 64 countries.

a. A priori, what is the expected relationship between CM and each of the other variables?
b. Regress CM on FIR and obtain the usual regression results.
c. Regress CM on FLR and PGNP and obtain the usual results.
d. Regress CM on FIR, PGNP, and TFR and obtain the usual results. Also show the ANOVA table.
e. Given the various regression results, which model would you choose and why?
f. If the regression model in (d)is the correct model, but you estimate (a)or Alar (c), what are the consequences?
g. Suppose you have regressed CM on FLR as in (b). How would you decide if it is worth adding the variables PGNP and TFR to the model? Which test would you use? Show the necessary calculations.

Table 4-7




Child Mortality, Female Literacy Rate,


Per Capita GNP, and Total Fertility Rate for

64 Countries








CM

FLR

PGNP

TFR

128

37

1870

6.66

204

22

130

6.15

202

16

310

7

197

65

570

6.25

96

76

2050

3.81

209

26

200

6.44

170

45

670

6.19

240

29

300

5.89

241

11

120

5.89

55

55

290

2.36

75

87

1180

3.93

129

55

900

5.99

24

93

1730

3.5

165

31

1150

7.41

94

77

1160

4.21

96

80

1270

5

148

30

580

5.27

98

69

660

5.21

161

43

420

6.5

118

47

1080

6.12

269

17

290

6.19

189

35

270

5.05

126

58

560

6.16

12

81

4240

1.8

167

29

240

4.75

135

65

430

4.1

107

87

3020

6.66

72

63

1420

7.28

128

49

420

8.12

27

63

19830

5.23

152

84

420

5.79

224

23

530

6.5

142

50

8640

7.17

104

62

350

6.6

287

31

230

7

41

66

1620

3.91

312

11

190

6.7

77

88

2090

4.2

142

22

900

5.43

262

22

230

6.5

215

12

140

6.25

246

9

330

7.1

191

31

1010

7.1

182

19

300

7

37

88

1730

3.46

103

35

780

5.66

67

85

1300

4.82

143

78

930

5

83

85

690

4.74

223

33

200

8.49

240

19

450

6.5

312

21

280

6.5

12

79

4430

1.69

52

83

270

3.25

79

43

1340

7.17

61

88

670

3.52

168

28

410

6.09

28

95

4370

2.86

121

41

1310

4.88

115

62

1470

3.89

186

45

300

6.9

47

85

3630

4.1

178

45

220

6.09

142

67

560

7.2

Problem 3:

Refer to Example 4.5 (Table 4-6) about education, GDP, and population for 38 countries.

a. Estimate a linear (LIV) model for the data. What are the resulting equation and relevant output values (i.e., Fstatistic, t values, and R2)?

b. Now attempt to estimate a log-linear model (where both of the independent variables are also in the natural log format).

c. With the log-linear model, what does the coefficient of the GDP variable indicate about education? What about the population variable?

d. Which model is more appropriate?

Table 4-6




Education Expenditures, Gross Domestic Product, and population for Several Countries





Country

EDUC

GDP

POP

Algeria

1988

41969

27.45

Belgium

13020

232006

10.093

Chile

1393

50919

13.994

Colombia

1870

68631

35.178

Czech Republic

1993

39896

10.275

Denmark

10971

151266

5.207

Dominican Rep

123

10350

7.684

Ecuador

519

16606

11.221

Finland

6696

97624

5.085

Guatemala

194

12983

10.322

Hungary

2500

41506

10.162

Iran

2741

73414

66.671

Ireland

2810

52662

3.536

Malaysia

2980

72505

19.695

Mexico

18273

420788

89.564

Morocco

1452

30351

26.025

Myanmar

742

79127

44.323

Netherlands

17095

334286

15.382

New Zealand

3124

51320

3.519

Norway

9268

122926

4.314

Oman

398

12919

2.116

Peru

1739

50287

23.131

Poland

3430

92597

38.499

Portugal

4362

87352

9.824

Saudi Arabia

7313

120168

17.765

Singapore

1628

71039

3.268

Slovakia

535

13746

5.325

Slovenia

720

14386

1.925

Spain

21959

483652

39.577

Switzerland

13246

261388

7.104

Syria

1392

44753

13.84

Thailand

4337

145168

57.782

Tunisia

854

15626

8.82

Turkey

4173

135961

59.903

U Arab Emir

700

36666

2.157

Uruguay

392

16250

3.168

Venezuela

2825

58418

21.378

Yemen

1214

22380

14.329

Example 4.5. Expenditure on Education in 38 Countries:

Based on data taken from a sample of 38 countries (see Table 4-6, found on the textbook's Web site), we obtained the following regression:

Educ; = 414.4583 + 0.0523GDPi - 50.0476 Pop

se = (266.4583) (0.0018) (9.9581)

t = (1.5538) (28.2742) (-5.0257)

p value = (0.1292) (0.0000) (0.0000)

R2 = 0.9616; R‾2 = 0.9594; F = 439.22; p value of F = 0.000

where Edue = expenditure on education (millions of U.S. dollars), GDP = gross domestic product (millions of U.S. dollars), and Pop = population(millions of people). As you can see from the data, the sample includes a variety Of countries in different stages of economic development.

It can be readily assessed that the GDP and Pop variables are individually highly significant, although the sign of the population variable may be puzzling. Since the estimated F is so highly significant, collectively the two variables, have a significant impact on expenditure on education. As noted the variable are also individually significant.

The R2 and adjusted R‾2 square values are quite high, which is unusual in a cross-section sample of diverse countries.

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