Discuss about the naive approach


Assignment:

Q: National Scan, Inc., sells radio frequency inventory tags. Monthly sales for a seven-month period were as follows:

Month Sales
(000)Units
Feb. 15
Mar. 16
Apr. 13
May. 20
Jun. 20
Jul. 23
Aug. 25

Forecast September sales volume using each of the following:

A linear trend equation.

A five-month moving average.

Exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant equal to .20, assuming a March forecast of 17(000).

The naive approach.

A weighted average using .50 for August, .10 for July, and .40 for June.

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Operation Management: Discuss about the naive approach
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