Problem
Suppose you want to forecast employment at the national level. Collect quarterly employment data and develop a suitable forecasting model using ARIMA methodology. To take into account seasonal variation, employment data are often presented in seasonally adjusted form. In developing your model, see if it makes a substantial difference if you use seasonally adjusted vs. the raw data.
The response should include a reference list. Double-space, using Times New Roman 12 pnt font, one-inch margins, and APA style of writing and citations.