Determine the trend models


Consider the following questions:

1) Plot the following time series to determine which of the trend models appears to fit better.

Period             1     2      3      4     5     6     7      8      9     10
Time Series     55   57    53    49    47   39   41    33    28    20

2) The following trend line and seasonal indexes were computed from 4 weeks of daily observations. Forecast the 7 values for next week.

y=120 + 2.3t t=1,2...,28

Day          Seasonal Index
Sunday       1.5
Monday        .4
Tuesday       .5
Wednesday   .6
Thursday      .7
Friday          1.4
Saturday     1.9

 

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Applied Statistics: Determine the trend models
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