Compute probability of a black ball


Discuss the below:

Q1: An urn contains n+m balls, of which n are red and m are black. They are withdrawn from the urn, one at a time and without replacement. Let X be the number of red balls removed before the first black ball is chosen. Find E[X]. To obtain this quantity, number the red balls from 1 to n. Now define the random variables Xi , i=1,....,n by

Xi = 1 if red ball I is taken before any black ball is chosen

0 otherwise

a) Express X in terms of the Xi

b) Find E[X]

Q2: From the above problem, let Y = number of red balls chosen after the first but the second black ball has been chosen

a) Express Y as the sum of n random variables, each of which is equal to either 0 or 1

b) Find E[y]c) Compare E[Y] to E[X] obtained in Q1

d) Can you explain the result obtained in part c)?

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Basic Statistics: Compute probability of a black ball
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