Problem
The city DOH repeats their recommendation about avoiding unnecessary travel, but the contact rate remains 0.000025. The city DOH is unsure if sufficient supplies of masks are available, so they also want to evaluate a different policy of giving all influenza cases Tamiflu instead of asking people to wear masks. Tamiflu reduces the duration of influenza by 1 day on average (that is, to 4 days). Describe how the influenza epidemic would change if this policy was implemented successfully without the use of masks. In addition, would there be sufficient ICU beds if this policy were implemented?