Confidence interval for the true proportion of voters


Discussion:

Q: I randomly selected 200 likely voters and created a 95 percent confidence interval for the true proportion of voters that will vote for my candidate. My confidence interval has endpoints of 0.39 and 0.45. Given the confidence interval that I created, is my candidate going to win? After constructing the confidence interval I called a friend and gave him my results. He interpreted my results as being a 95% chance that the true proportion of voters for our candidate was between 0.39 and 0.45. Was his interpretation correct?

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Basic Statistics: Confidence interval for the true proportion of voters
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