Question 1
A financial institution has the following balance sheet:
Assets Liab. and Equity
|
Cash
|
|
500
|
Certificate
|
of deposit
|
5,000
|
|
Bond
|
|
5,000
|
Equity
|
|
500
|
|
Total
|
assets
|
5,500
|
Total liab.
|
and equity
|
5,500
|
1. The bond has a 5-year maturity, a coupon of 7 percent paid annually, and a par value of ?5,000. The certificate of deposit has a 1-year maturity and a 3 percent fixed rate of interest. Assuming that the balance sheet does not change, what is the net interest income at the end of the first year?
2. At the end of year 1, the rates rise (parallel shift) by 200 basis points (2 percent). What will the net interest income be for the second year?
3. Assuming the same rise in interest rates, what is the value of the bond at the end of year 1? How will this affect is the market value of the equity?
4. If rates lowered, would the operating performance of the FI be better or worse? Hint: Think about equity value and net interest income effects.
5. What type of interest rate risk is this FI facing? (Hint: two-word phrase is sufficient.)
Question 2
A financial institution has the following balance sheet:
|
Assets
|
|
Avg.
|
Rate
|
Liab. and
|
Equity
|
Avg.
|
Rate
|
|
Rate sensitive
|
150,000
|
6.50
|
Rate sensitive
|
175,000
|
4.25
|
|
Fixed rate
|
300,000
|
7.00
|
Fixed rate
|
275,000
|
6.00
|
|
Nonearning
|
50,000
|
|
Nonpaying
|
50,000
|
|
|
Total
|
500,000
|
|
Total
|
500,000
|
|
1. Suppose interest rates rise such that the average yield on rate-sensitive assets increases by 50 basis points and the average yield on rate-sensitive liabilities increases by 25 basis points. Calculate the bank's repricing GAP.
2. What is net interest income over the next two years if the interest rates on RSAs increase 75 basis points and on RSLs increase 50 basis points?
Question 3
Name three main players that helped cause the financial crisis. How did each con- tribute? Only need 1-2 sentences on each cause.
1. Name two reasons why a credit union can offer lower loan rates and higher deposit rates.
2. Pay fixed swaps versus receive fixed swaps: which is asset sensitive and which is liability sensitive? Why?
3. What are two advantages of using derivatives to manage interest rate risk?
4. Why is risk management described as "an art as much as a science" by one of the senior officers at Wellfleet?
Question 4
Use the following table of rates and expected one-year rates (forward rates) to answer part 1 and part 2:
Part 1 Part 2
|
Period
|
Treasury
|
Strips Rate
|
Period
|
Treasury
|
Strips Rate
|
BBB-rated
|
bonds Rate
|
|
r1
|
5.0%
|
r1
|
4.1%
|
5.3%
|
|
E2(r1)
|
7.0%
|
E2(r1)
|
5.2%
|
7.1%
|
|
E3(r1)
|
7.5%
|
E3(r1)
|
5.8%
|
8.3%
|
1. Based on expectations theory, calculate the current rates for two- and three-year- maturity Treasury securities.
2. Using the columns to the right, calculate the term structure of default probabilities over three years using the following spot rates from the Treasury strip and corporate bond (pure discount) yield curves. Be sure to calculate both the annual marginal and the cumulative default probabilities.
Question 5
Bond A is a three-year ?10,000 bond that pays an annual coupon of 6 percent. Bond B is a three-year, ?10,000 zero-coupon bond. The bonds are currently trading at par.
1. Which bond is more sensitive to interest rate movements?
2. What is the duration for each of the bonds?
3. What is the dollar duration of Bond A?
4. One year has passed, and rates fall by 1 percent. What are the durations of the two bonds now?
5. Give two reasons why using duration is better than using the maturity gap to manage interest rate risk.
Question 6
Countries A and B have import ratios of 113 percent and 25 percent, respectively. Their debt service ratios are 30 percent and 15 percent, respectively. (Hint: Import ratio = Total imports/Total foreign exchange reserves; Debt service ratio = Interest plus amortization of debt/Exports.)
1. Based on these ratios, to which country should lenders charge a higher risk premium? Why?
2. What are the shortcomings of only using ratios like these to determine risk?
Question 7
A bank is planning to make a loan of ?7,000,000 to a firm in the car industry. It expects to charge a servicing fee of 50 basis points. The loan has a maturity of 8 years with a duration of years. The cost of funds (the RAROC benchmark) for the bank is 12 percent. The bank has estimated the maximum change in the risk premium on the car manufacturing sector to be approximately 4.3 percent, based on two years of historical data. The current market interest rate for loans in this sector is 14 percent.
1. Using the risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC) model, determine whether the bank should make the loan.
2. What is the highest duration this loan could have and still be approved?
Question 8
A depository institution (DI) has the following balance sheet (in millions):
Assets Liab. and Equity
|
Cash
|
3
|
Demand
|
deposits
|
70
|
|
Loans
|
70
|
|
|
|
|
Premises
|
2
|
Equity
|
|
5
|
|
Total
|
75
|
Total
|
|
75
|
The asset-liability management committee has estimated that the loans, whose average interest
rate is 7 percent and whose average life is three years, will have to be discounted at 10 percent if they are to be sold in two days or less. If they can be sold in 4 days, they will have to be discounted at 8 percent. If they can be sold later than a week, the DI will receive the full market value. The principal of the loans is paid at maturity.
1. What will be the price received by the DI for the loans if they have to be sold in two days. In four days?
2. What is the best way for the bank to cover depositors demanding ?30 million imme- diately?
Question 9
Bank Zed has a portfolio of bonds with a market value of ?750 million. The bonds have an estimated price volatility of 0.93 percent.
1. What are the DEAR and the 5-day VAR for these bonds?
2. If you know the DEAR of two bond portfolios, why can't you just add the two numbers together to know the DEAR for the entire position?
Academic requirements:
• Your work must be submitted as Excel Sheet.
• Your work should be submitted in the formats outlined for each Answer in the assignment