1hen a movie producer decides whether to produce a major


1. When a movie producer decides whether to produce a major motion picture, the main question is how much revenue the movie will generate. Draw a decision tree of this situ ation, assuming that there is only one fundamental objective, to maximize revenue. What must be included in revenue to be sure that the clarity test is passed?

2. You have met an acquaintance for lunch, and he is worried about an upcoming meeting with his boss and some executives from his firm's headquarters. He has to outline the costs and benefits of some alternative investment strategies. He knows about both deci sion trees and influence diagrams but cannot decide which presentation to use. In your own words, explain to him the advantages and disadvantages of each.

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Basic Statistics: 1hen a movie producer decides whether to produce a major
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