In 2010, the Keenan Company paid dividends totaling $3.6 million on net income of $10.8 million. The year was a normal one, and earnings have grown at a constant rate of 10% for the past 10 years. However, in 2011 earnings are expected to jump to $14.4 million, and the firm expects to have profitable investment opportunities of $8.4 million. It is predicted that Keenan will not be able to maintain the 2011 level of earnings growth-the high 2011 projected earnings level is due to an exceptionally profitable new product line to be introduced that year-and then the company will return to its previous 10% growth rate. Keenan's target debt ratio is 40%.
Calculate Keenan's total dividends for 2011 if it follows each of the following policies
1. Its 2011 dividend payment is set to force dividends to grow at the long-run growth rate in earnings.
2. It continues the 2010 dividend payout ratio.
3. It uses a pure residual policy with all distributions in the form of dividends (40% of the $8.4 million investment is financed with debt.)
4. It employs a regular-dividend-plus-extra's policy, with the regular dividend being based on the long-run growth rate and the extra dividend being set according to the residual policy.
Which of the proceeding policies would you recommend? Restrict your choices to the ones listed, but justify your answers.
Does a 2011 dividend of $9 million seem reasonable in view of your answers to parts a and b? If not should the dividend be higher or lower?