Problem: A random sample of Americans was asked if they think Iran would destroy Israel if Iran acquired nuclewar weapons. In the survey, 298 said "YES" and 44 said "NO". Use the survey results to make an 86% confidence interval for the percent or proportion of all Americans that would answer "YES" to this question.
What is the probability that the true percent or proportion of Americans that would answer "YES" next year will be in next year's confidence interval if you do another survey and analyze next year's data in the same way?