What is the probability that the project will be completed


Homework: PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT

Activity

Predecessors

Expected Duration (in minutes)

Variance of Duration (in minutes)

A

----

10

1.2

B

A

5

1.00

C

A

15

2.4

D

B, C

11

1.5

E

D

10

1.8

o From the above project, what is the probability that the project will be completed in 50 minutes?

o How many minutes will it take for the project be completed if the company projects 90% upper bound on the completion time of the project.

o University project that is analyzed by PERT has 42 activities, 13 of which are on the critical path. If the estimated time along the critical path is 105 days with a project variance of 25, what is the probability that the project will be completed in 95 days or more?

o If the University project still on a PERT network has these time estimates: optimistic = 2, most likely = 3, and pessimistic = 10. Calculate both theexpected activity time and variance?

• Kenny's activity that is on a PERT network has the following time estimates: optimistic = 3, most likely = 5, and pessimistic = 10. Also, the activity has a normal duration of 13 days but can be shortened to 11 days for an added cost of $1,500.
Given the analysis above:

o What is its expected activity time?
o What is the variance?
o What is the crash cost per period?

• AWOSCB'S project has an estimated time of 120 days on a critical pathhas a variance of 100 with a 20% chance of completion. How many days would you estimate this project to be completed. Note: round your estimation to the nearest day).

Format your homework according to the give formatting requirements:

• The answer must be using Times New Roman font (size 12), double spaced, typed, with one-inch margins on all sides.

• The response also includes a cover page containing the student's name, the title of the homework, the course title, and the date. The cover page is not included in the required page length.

• Also include a reference page. The references and Citations should follow APA format. The reference page is not included in the required page length.

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Operation Management: What is the probability that the project will be completed
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