What is the probability that his sibling is female assume


An exchange student from Switzerland, who is male, has been assigned to be your partner in an introductory psychology class. As part of a class assignment, he responds to your question about his family by stating only that he comes from a family of two children, without specifying whether he is the older or the younger. What is the probability that his sibling is female? Assume equal probability of hav- ing a boy or girl. Why does this result seem counterintuitive at ?rst?

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