What is the probability of having a low birth weight infant


Discuss the below problem:

Q: Suppose that infants are classified as low birth weight if they have birth weight ≤2500g, and as normal birth weight if have birth weight ≥2501g.  Suppose that infants are also classified by length of gestation in the following four categories: <20 weeks, 20-27 weeks, 28-36 weeks, >36 weeks.  Assume the probabilities of the different period of gestation are as given in the table below:

Distribution of length of gestation

Length of gestation

Probability

<20 weeks

.0004

20-27 weeks

.0063

28-36 weeks

.0848

>36 weeks

.9085

Also assume that the probability of low birth weight given that length of gestation is <20 weeks is .540, the probability of low birth weight given that length of gestation is 20-27 weeks is .813, the probability of low birth weight given that length of gestation is 28-36 weeks is .378, and the probability of low birth weight given that length of gestation is >36 weeks is .031.

a) What is the probability of having a low birth weight infant?

b) Show that the events {length of gestation ≤ 27 weeks} and {low birth weight} are not independent.

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