What is the probability of a fatal accident


Discuss the below:

Q1: A certain airplane has two independent alternators to provide electrical power. The probability that a given alternator will fail on a 1- hour flight is .02. What is the probability that (a) both will fail? (b) Neither will fail? (c) One or the other will fail? Show all the steps

Q2: The probability is 1 in 4,000,000 that a single auto trip in the United States will result in a fatality. Over the lifetime, an average U.S. driver takes 50,000 trips. (a) What is the probability of a fatal accident over a lifetime? Explain your reasoning carefully. Hint: Assume independent events. Why might the assumption of independence be violated? (b) Why might a driver be tempted not to use a seat belt "just on this trip"?

 

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Basic Statistics: What is the probability of a fatal accident
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