We choose one of the urns at random with equal probability


We have two urns. The first urn contains 4 balls labeled 1, ..., 4, and the second contains 7 balls labeled 5, ..., 11. We choose one of the urns at random (with equal probability) and then sample one ball (uniformly at random) from the chosen urn.

What is the probability we picked the ball labeled 11?

Probability =

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Business Management: We choose one of the urns at random with equal probability
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