Was the draft lottery random


Discuss the following:

Q1 Refer to excel file for data

Was the draft lottery random?

In 1970, a lottery was used to determine who would be drafted into the US Army. The 366 dates in the year were placed in individual capsules. First the 31 January capsules were placed in a box: then the 29 February capsules were added and the two months were mixed.

Then the 31 March capsules were added and the three months were mixed. This process continued until all months were included. The first capsule selected was September 14, so men born on that date were drafted first. The accompanying list show the 366 dates in the order of selection.

a- Use the runs test to test the sequence for randomness above and below the median of 183.5

b- Use the Kruskal-Wallis test to test the claim that the 12 months had priority numbers drawn from the same population.

c- Calculate the 12 monthly means. Then plot those 12 means on a graph. (The horizontal scale lists the 12 months and the vertical scale ranges from 100 to 260). Note any pattern suggesting that the original priority numbers were not randomly selected.

d- Based on the results from arts (a), (b) and (c), decide whether this particular draft lottery was fair. Write a statement either supporting your position that it was fair or explaining why you believe that it was not fair. If you decided that this lottery was unfair, describe a process for selecting lottery numbers that would be fair.

Q2 Refer to excel file for data

Are the axial loads within statistical control? Is the process of manufacturing cans proceeding as it should?
New York Company manufactures 0.0109-in. thick aluminum cans for a major beverage supplier.

From the data conduct an analysis of the process data for the cans that are 0.0111 in. think. The values in the data a set are measured axial loads of cans, and the top lids are pressed into place with pressures that vary between 158 lb and 165 lb.

Analyzing the results:

Based on the given process data, should the company take any corrective actions? Write a report summarizing your conclusions. Address not only the issue of statistical stability, but also the ability of the cans to withstand the pressures applied when the top lids are pressed into place. Also compare the behavior of the 0.0111-in. cans to the behavior of the 0.0109 in. cans and recommend which thickness should be used?

251 215 101 224 306 199 194 325 329 221 318 238 17 121
58 280 186 337 118 59 52 92 355 77 349 164 211
297 210 214 347 91 181 338 216 150 68 152 4 89 212
25 302 363 290 57 236 179 365 205 299 285


267 275 293 139 122 213 317 323 136 300 259 354 169 166
200 239 334 265 256 258 343 170 268 223 362 217 30
83 81 269 253 147 312 219 218 14 346 124 231 273 148
336 345 62 316 252 2 351 340 74 262 191 208

40 276 364 155 35 321 197 65 37 133 295 178 130 55
75 183 250 326 319 31 361 357 296 308 226 103 313
301 20 28 110 85 366 335 206 134 272 69 356 180 274
104 360 60 247 109 358 137 22 64 222 353 209

115 279 188 327 50 13 277 284 248 15 42 331 322 120
227 187 27 153 172 23 67 303 289 88 270 287 193
261 145 54 114 168 48 106 21 324 142 307 198 102 44
311 344 291 339 116 36 286 245 352 167 61 333 11
49 232 82 6 8 184 263 71 158 242 175 1 113 207
177 63 204 160 119 195 149 18 233 257 151 315

244 302 24 87 234 283 342 220 237 72 138 294 171 254
241 192 243 117 201 196 176 7 264 94 229 38 79
348 266 310 76 51 97 80 282 46 66 126 127 131 107
203 182 156 9 182 230 132 309 47 281 99 174

157 165 56 10 12 105 43 41 39 314 163 26 320 96
240 135 70 53 162 95 84 173 78 123 16 3 100

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