Using a cost-of-carry model estimate the implied storage


The spot price of oil is $27.90 per barrel.

Month
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Current Session

Prior.Day

Open

High

Low

Last

Time

Set

Chg

Vol

Set

Op Int

Mar'16

30.17

30.61

27.74

28.22

14:47

27.94

-1.75

616184

29.69

428564

9-Feb

Apr'16

32.04

32.48

29.57

30.01

14:47

29.74

-1.90

283901

31.64

290505

9-Feb

May'16

33.67

34.20

31.28

31.66

14:47

31.41

-2.02

128001

33.43

171831

9-Feb

Jun'16

35.09

35.59

32.65

32.96

14:47

32.74

-2.18

101965

34.92

172700

9-Feb

Jul'16

36.06

36.63

33.71

33.97

14:47

33.77

-2.34

42382

36.11

71184

9-Feb

Aug'16

37.10

37.49

34.56

34.79

14:47

34.58

-2.45

20575

37.03

53799

9-Feb

(a) What are the futures prices (settlement) for March, June and August 2016 delivery of crude oil?
(b) Would the August 2016 price be expected to be higher or lower than March's price? Explain the quotes that are observed.
(c) Using a cost-of-carry model, estimate the implied storage cost (using a continuously compounded rate) for the August 2016 crude oil contract. Use a risk-free rate of 0.37% continuously compounded per year, and assume that expiration is at the end of the month. Is there an arbitrage opportunity? Explain.
(d) Explain the difference between volume (Vol) and open interest (Op Int).

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Finance Basics: Using a cost-of-carry model estimate the implied storage
Reference No:- TGS01470921

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