The population of South Winslet is 358,000. Assume the following physician distribution by specialty in the community (Table 15-6). Assume that one half of physicians retire at the age of 65 and all physicians retire at age 70. How many physicians, by specialty will we must recruit in 5 years? Ten years?
Specialty Number of Physicians Aged 60–65
General Practice 90 18
Pediatrics 38 6
General Surgery 41 2
OB/GYN 50 6
Assume the following target ratio of physicians per 100,000 people
Specialty Target Physician Ratio per 100,000
General Practice 31
Pediatrics 18
General Surgery 13
OB/GYN 14