The following data are monthly sales of jeans at a local


The following data are monthly sales of jeans at a local department store. The buyer would like to forecast sales of jeans for the next month, July. (a) Forecast sales of jeans for March through June using the naïve method, a two-period moving average, and exponential smoothing with an α=0.2 α=0.2 (b) Compare the forecasts using MAD and decide which is best. (c) Using your method of choice, make a forecast for the month of July.

Month         Sales

January          45

February         30

March             40

April              50

May               55

June              47

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