Suppose you want to forecast employment at the national


Question: Suppose you want to forecast employment at the national level. Collect quarterly employment data and develop a suitable forecasting model using ARIMA methodology. To take into account seasonal variation, employment data are often presented in seasonally adjusted form. In developing your model, see if it makes a substantial difference if you use seasonally adjusted vs. the raw data.

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Macroeconomics: Suppose you want to forecast employment at the national
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