Suppose the returns on long-term government bonds are normally distributed. Assume long-term government bonds have a mean return of 6.8 percent and a standard deviation of 10.3 percent.
What is the probability that your return on these bonds will be less than −13.8 percent in a given year? Use the NORMDIST function in Excel® to answer this question. (Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)
Probability %
What range of returns would you expect to see 95 percent of the time? (A negative answer should be indicated by a minus sign. Input your answers from lowest to highest to receive credit for your answers. Do not round intermediate calculations and enter your answers as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)
Expected range of returns % to %
What range would you expect to see 99 percent of the time?