Suppose a rare disease occurs in about 1 out of 1000 people


Question: Suppose a rare disease occurs in about 1 out of 1000 people who are like you. A test for the disease has sensitivity of 95% and specificity of 90%. Using the technique described in this chapter, compute the probability that you actually have the disease, given that your test results are positive.

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Basic Statistics: Suppose a rare disease occurs in about 1 out of 1000 people
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