Problem of setting criteria for the amounts


The Environmental Protection Agency is concerned with the problem of setting criteria for the amounts of certain toxic chemicals to be allowed in freshwater lakes and rivers. A common measure of toxicity for any pollutant that will kill half of the test species in a given amount of time (usually 96 hours for fish species). This measure is called LC50 (lethal concentration killing 50% of the test species). In many studies, the values contained in the natural logarithm of LC50 measurements are normally distributed, and, hence, the analysis is based on ln(LC50) data.

Studies of the effects of copper on a certain species of fish (say, species A) show the variance of ln(LC50) measurements to be around .4 with concentration measurements in milligrams per liter.

Referring to the above information, suppose that the effects of copper on a second species (say, species B) of fish show the variance of ln(LC50) measurements to be 0.8. If the population means of ln(LC50) for the two species are equal, find the probability that, with random samples of ten measurements from each species, the sample mean for species A exceeds the sample mean for species B by at least 1 unit.

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Basic Statistics: Problem of setting criteria for the amounts
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