Predict the lifespan of an 18-year-old black man- are you


Years to live 2003

Insurance companies and other organizations use actuarial tables to estimate the remaining life-spans of their customers. On the next page are the estimated additional years of life for black males in the United States, according to a 2003 National Vital Statistics Report. (www.cdc.gov/nchs/deaths.htm)

Age

Years left

10

60.3

20

50.7

30

41.8

40

32.9

50

24.8

60

17.9

70

12.1

80

7.9

90

5.0

100

3.0

a) Find a re-expression to create an appropriate model.

b) Predict the lifespan of an 18-year-old black man.

c) Are you satisfied that your model has accounted for the relationship between Years Left and Age? Explain.

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Basic Statistics: Predict the lifespan of an 18-year-old black man- are you
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