Pindyck supplies a simple two-period example to illustrate


This assignment is to be completed in groups of three and carries thirty per-cent of the marks in this unit. 

Assessment Criteria:

Student work will generally be assessed in terms of the following criteria:

1.    Effectiveness of communication - ie readability, legibility, grammar, spelling, neatness, completeness and presentation will be a minimum threshold requirement for all written work submitted for assessment. Work that is illegible or incomprehensible and does not meet the minimum requirement will be awarded a fail grade.

2.    Accuracy - This will be the primary criterion for assessing the computational and procedural tasks.

3.    Demonstrated understanding - This will be evidenced by the student's ability to be dialectical in the discussion of contentious issues. Few, if any, accounting concepts are scientific facts and stereotype answers will demonstrate poor understanding on the part of the student.

4.    Evidence of research - This will be evidenced by the references made to the statutes, accounting standards, books, journal articles and inclusion of a bibliography.

Note:

1.    All written work must conform with the University of Ballarat General Guide for the Presentation of Academic Work.

2.    For all written work students must ensure that they submit their own original work. Any act of plagiarism will be severely penalised.

PART A. (10 marks)

You have been asked to analyse Grand Plomp Ltd, a maker of rocket widgets used by NASA.The owners are wondering whether the return received is sufficient to justify the risks taken in each division. You are to consider both divisional risk and return in your analysis and the following information has been collected from the past fifteen years to use in your n your analysis.

     Percent    Risk Measure %    Average    

Division    of Rocket    Standard     Beta    Annual Rate    

     Widgets    Deviation         of Return (%)    

A    10    12    1.1    10    

B    20    36    1.2    20    

C    30    14    0.8    8    

D    40    15    0.9    15    

 

•    Average annual market return: 12 per cent 

•    Average annual risk-free rate: 8 per cent

Using standard deviation and beta measures of risk, you are to rank projects in terms of their risk-adjusted return. Those divisions providing the lowest risk per unit of return would be preferred. An analysis can be conducted using a 'total' definition of risk, or standard deviation, and an ’undiversifiable’ definition or risk, or beta.

Given the beta, it is possible to measure the required rate of return. Furthermore, given the proportion of each division within Global Gears, it is possible to calculate the firm beta, return and risk-adjusted return. With this information, it is possible to determine whether Global Gears, as a whole, provides a sufficient return to justify the risks taken by its investors.

You are required to:

•    Locate the relevant information

•    Select the proper tool or equation

•    Organise and manipulate the data 

•    Explain the solution

PART B (12.5 marks)

Misty Ltd wishes to determine its weighted marginal cost of capital. In preparing for this task, it has compiled the following data:

    Source of Capital    Target     Range of Financing    After-Tax     

         Proportion    $         $    Cost    

    Long-Term Debt    0.4    0    to    300,000    0.065    

              300,001    to    600,000    0.075    

              600,001    and above    0.090    

    Preference Shares    0.1    0    to    100,000    0.095    

              100,001    and above    0.100    

    Ordinary Shares    0.5    0    to    500,000    0.11    

              500,001    to    1,000,000    0.125    

              1,000,001    and above    0.14    

a)    Determine the breaking points and ranges of total financing associated witheach source of capital;    

b)    Using the data developed determine the levels of total financing at whichthe firm's weighted average cost of capital (WACC) will change;    

c)    Calculate the weighted average cost of capital and the weighted marginal cost (WMCC) for each range of total financing    

d)    Using the results along with the information on the available investmentopportunities shown below, compile the firm's investment opportunitiesschedule (IOS), plot this schedule and plot the weighted marginal cost of capital schedule

Investment Opportunities Schedule

Investment    IRR    Initial

Opportunity        Investment

A    0.14    200,000

B    0.12    300,000

C    0.11    500,000

D    0.1    300,000

E    0.09    600,000

F    0.08    100,000

e)    Which, if any of the available investments would you recommend that the firm accept? Explain your answer.

PART C. (7.5 marks)

Traditional project evaluation/capital budgeting analysis assumes a firm’s only choice is accept or reject a program. In a real business situation, firms face many choices with respect to how to operate a project, both before it starts and after it is underway. Any time a firm has the ability to make choices, there is value added to the project in question – Traditional NPV analysis ignores this value. The study of real options attempts to put a dollar value on the ability to make choices.

a)    What are real options and how are they valued.

b)    Discuss the following

Locate the following article

IRREVERSIBILITY, UNCERTAINTY, AND INVESTMENT 

(Robert S Pindyck – Massachusetts Institute of Technology March – 1990 – old but gold)

Most major investment expenditures have two important characteristics which together can dramatically affect the decision to invest. First, the expenditures are largely irreversible; the firm cannot disinvest, so the expenditures must be viewed as sunk costs. Second, the investments can be delayed, giving the firm an opportunity to wait for new information about prices, costs, and other market conditions before it commits resources.

 

c)    Calculate the following

Pindyck supplies a simple two-period example to illustrate how irreversibility can affect an investment decision and how option pricing methods can be used to value a firm’s investment opportunity, and determine whether or not the firm should invest.

Using the following example replicate Pyndick’s two-period example.

Consider a firm's decision to irreversibly invest in awidget factory. The factory can be built instantly, at a cost of $7m, and willproduce 1000 widgets per year forever, with zero operating cost. Currentlythe price of widgets is $700, but next year the price will change. Withprobability .6it will rise to $800, and with probability (l-q) it willfall to $600. The price will then remain at this new level forever. Assume that this risk is fully diversifiable, so thatthe firm can discount future cash flows using the risk-free rate, which wewill take to be 10 percent.

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