Mornings and afternoons with constant probability


An individual either drives his car or walks in going from his home to his office in the morning, and from his office to his home in the afternoon. he uses the following strategy:

if its raining in the morning, then he drives the car, provided it is at home to be taken. similarly, if it is raining in the afternoon and his car at the office, then he drives the car home. he walks on any morning or afternoon that is not raining or the car is not where he is.. Assume that, independent of the past, it rains during successive mornings and afternoons with constant probability p.

a- in the long run, on what fraction of days does our man walk in the rain?

b- what if he owns two cars?

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Basic Statistics: Mornings and afternoons with constant probability
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