Advance Fuel Corporation (AFC) was founded five years ago when Dr. Zachery Aplin left his faculty position at a prestigious university to pursue the development of a process to convert grain waste poducts into fuel. He used a largegovernment grant, personal funds, and loans from friends and relatives as seed money to finance the company, and he was the sole stockholder. Dr. Aplin worked feverishly for three years with limited success. However, in the beginning of the fourth year of dedicated research, he and his two-member staff made a major break-through that led to the development of a process capable of efficiently converting grain waste producys into ethanol, a compound that is blended with gasoline to produce a better burning automobile fuel. Ethanol-gasoline blends have been around for som time, andthe U.S. currently produces over a billion gallons of ethanol a year. However, the ethanol is produced from feed corn, and it more expensive than the gasoline to which it is added. Only a federal subsidy makes ethanol-gasoline mixture economically feasible. Producing ethanol from grain waste products would lower its cost, hence dramaticaly increasing the market potential of the blended fuel. AFC recently received a patent from the U.S. Patent Office for Dr. Aplin's unique ethanol production process. After considering licensing the process to major oil companies, Dr. Aplin decided that AFC would broaden its scope of operations to include the production and sale of ethanol. Realizing that both his personal financial resources and those of AFC has ben exhausted, Dr. Aplin discussed his need for venture capital with the firm's CPA and banker. Both professionals suggested that the first step in attaining outside capital is the development of a busines plan. With some help from the firm's CPA and banker, Dr. Aplin andhis staff developed an impeccable business plan. Merely working on the plan was a beneficial process, because it forced the participants to think about issues that had not previously been considered. Dr. Aplin knew that AFC's production process held a cost advantage over the competition, but he was amazed to discover that AFC's production costs were only 70 percent of its closest competitior. On theother hand, the capital-intensive nature of AFC's production process was revealed by the business plan. The cost of building one production facility was determind to be $10 million. Since the manufacturing strategy calls for building plants in five major cities in the U.S., and since $1 million in woking capital is needed to start up each plant, AFC's total capital requirement is $55 million. Because the nee for $55 million was a lot more than Dr. Aplin anticipated, he decided to hire venture capital consultant to help him identify and approach potential capital providers. The consultant described four main sources of start-up capital: venture capital funds, banks, individual, and public offerings. Asume you are a manager of a venture capital fund, and a bank is offering to laon $20 million of the $55 million financing requirement. The after-tax cash outflows to service the bank debt are $5, $5, $5, $5, and $10 million in Years 1 through 5, respectively. You are considering providing an equity investment for the remaining $35 million required by AFC. table 2 project cash flow statement (in millions) year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 sales 20 53 102 117 129 cost of goods sold 10 26 51 59 65 gross margin 10 27 51 58 64 general / adminstratioon expenses 5 10 19 23 25 debt service requirements 5 5 5 5 10 pre-tax earnings 0 12 27 30 29 taxes 0 5 12 13 14 net income 0 7 15 17 15 depreciation/amoritization 2 6 6 6 6 terminal value 116 (in year 5 column) net cash flow 2 13 21 23 137
Question:
If you used the adjusted tangible book value method to value AFC, how would you determine the market value of the patent?