If the current exchange rate is 095euro forecast the


Chase Econometrics has just published projected inflation rates for the United States and Germany for the next five years. U.S. inflation is expected to be 10% per year, and German inflation is expected to be 4% per year.

a. If the current exchange rate is $0.95/€, forecast the exchange rates for the next five years.

b. Suppose that U.S. inflation over the next five years turns out to average 3.2%, German inflation averages 1.5%, and the exchange rate in five years is $0.99/€. What has happened to the real value of the euro over this five-year period?

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