Calhoun Resorts is interested in developing a new facility in Toronto. The company estimates that the hotel would require an initial investment of $10 million. The company expects that the facility will produce positive cash flows of $3,000,000 a year at the end of each of the next 5 years. The project's cost of capital is 12%.
a. Calculate the expected net present value of the project.
b. A hotel tax may be imposed that would affect cash flows. In one year, the company expects to know whether the tax will be imposed. The company believes there is a 40% change that the tax will be imposed, in which case annual cash flows will be $2.5 million. If the tax is not imposed, annual cash flows will be $3.2 million . It is deciding whether to proceed with the facility today or to wait 1 year to find out whether the tax will be imposed. If it waits a year, the initial investment will remain at $10 million, and incoming cash flows will be delayed 1 year. Cost of capital will remain at 12%.
If the company waits one year, calculate the project's NPV in Year 1 with restrictions and without restrictions.
c. Identify 3 qualitative factors in addition to the value of the real option that the company should consider in making its decision.