How much would you expect the price of an antique


Question 1:

Which of the variables (age or number of bidders) appears to have the strongest linear relationship with price (and hence should be

selected as the explanatory variable for your model)?

a. Age

b. Number of Bidders

c. Neither variable has a linear relationship with price

Now, suppose that you use Excel to fit a linear regression model with price as the response variable and age as the explanatory variable.

The output from the regression analysis is shown on the next page.

Use this output to answer the remaining questions.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R 0.7302

R Square 0.5332

Adjusted R Square 0.5177

Standard Error 273.0284

Observations 32

ANOVA

df SS MS F Significance F

Regression 1 2554859.011 2554859 34.27 0.0000021

Residual 30 2236335.207 74544.51

Total 31 4791194.219

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

Intercept -191.66 263.89 -0.7263 0.4733 -730.59 347.27 -730.59 347.27

Age 10.48 1.79 5.8543 0.0000021 6.82 14.13 6.82 14.13

Question 2:

What percentage of the variability in price of clocks can be explained by the age of the clocks (e.g., what percentage of the variability

in clocks is explained by this regression model)?

a. 53.32%

b. 10.48%

c. 73.02%

Question 3:

What is the form of the regression equation for this model?

a. y = 263.89 + 1.79x

b. y = -191.66 + 10.48x

c. y = 10.48 - 191.66x

Question 4:

What is the p-value that you would use to test the hypothesis that age is a useful predictor of the price of antique grandfather clocks?

a. 0.4733

b. 5.8543

c. 0.0000021

Question 5:

Continuing with question 4, at the 5% significance level, can you conclude that age is a useful predictor of the price of antique

grandfather clocks?

a. Yes. You would reject the null hypothesis and conclude that age is a useful predictor.

b. No. You would fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that age is not a useful predictor.

Question 6:

How much would you expect the price of an antique grandfather clock to increase if its age increased by 1 year?

a. $10.48

b. $191.66

c. We can't tell from the information given.

Question 7:

Suppose that you've got your eye on a clock that is 125 years old. How much would you expect (predict) the price of this clock to be?

a. $1118.34

b. $1310

c. $1250

Question 8:

Suppose that you're also interested in buying an antique grandfather clock that is only 50 years old.

Should you use this model to predict the price of that clock?

a. Yes - You would predict the price of the clock to be $332.34

b. No - This would be extrapolation.

Question 9:

Would it be correct to say that increasing age causes the price of antique grandfather clocks to increase?

a. Yes - The slope is positive which indicates an increasing trend.

b. No - Correlation does not imply causation.

Question 10:

Based on the following residual plots, which of the following statements is true?

a. None of the assumptions appear to be violated.

b. The normality assumption appears to be violated.

c. The constant variance assumption appears to be violated.

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Basic Statistics: How much would you expect the price of an antique
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