QUESTION 1
How is it possible for the prophecies of Nostradamus to appear to be highly accurate and yet not be?
1. Subjective validation of a vague prophecy.
2. Memory construction of a vague prophecy.
3. Subjective validation of a confirmation bias.
4. Probability of a vague proposition.
QUESTION 2
What is the availability error?
1. When we refuse to look at the available information in order to avoid the confirmation bias, but we miss important evidence.
2. When we base our judgments on evidence that is reliable and trustworthy but isn't available for others to confirm.
3. When we only look at the information that is immediately available instead that which is not immediately evident.
QUESTION 3
What is the principle that explains how much trust we should put in personal experience as reliable evidence?
1. It's reasonable to accept personal experience as reliable evidence only if there's no reason to doubt its reliability.
2. It's reasonable to accept personal experience as reliable evidence only if its conclusive and verified by others.
3. Experiences cannot be verified beyond a reasonable doubt.
QUESTION 4
What is confirmation bias?
1. When we cannot find anything that disconfirms our view no matter how hard we try.
2. When we look for and recognize only evidence that confirms our own views.
3. When we deny the arguments of the other side without any reason.
4. When we are biased in our confirmation of the evidence.
QUESTION 5
Let's say that an incredible coincidence occurs in your life, and your friend argues that the odds against the occurrence are so astronomical that the only explanation must be a paranormal one. What is wrong with this argument?
1. That which is paranormal doesn't exist.
2. It appeals to intuition.
3. Things that seem like an incredible coincidence are often not as unlikely as they seem.
4. It appeals to ignorance.