How does the liquidity premium theory of the term structure


1.Suppose that the current one-year rate (one-year spot rate) and expected one-year T-bill rates over the following three years (i.e., years 2, 3, and 4, respectively) are as follows:

                        1R1=6%E(2r1)=7%        E(3r1)=7.5%  E(4r1)=7.85%

Using the unbiased expectations theory, calculate the current (long-term) rates for one-, two-, three-, and four-year-maturity Treasury securities. Plot the resulting yield curve.

2.The Wall Street Journal reported interest rates of 6 percent, 6.35 percent, 6.65 percent, and 6.75 percent for three-year, four-year, five-year, and six-year Treasury notes, respectively. According to the unbiased expectations theory, what are the expected one-year rates for years 4, 5, and 6?

3.The Wall Street Journal reports that the rate on three-year Treasury securities is 5.60 percent and the rate on four-year Treasury securities is 5.65 percent. According to the unbiased expectations hypothesis, what does the market expect the one-year Treasury rate to be in year 4, E(4r1)?

4.How does the liquidity premium theory of the term structure of interest rates differ from the unbiased expectations theory?  In a normal economic environment, that is, an upward- sloping yield curve, what is the relationship of liquidity premiums for successive years into the future?  Why?

5.You note the following yield curve in The Wall Street Journal. According to the unbiased expectations hypothesis, what is the one-year forward rate for the period beginning two years from today, 2f1?

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Finance Basics: How does the liquidity premium theory of the term structure
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