How can you make a judgment call with so much uncertainty


Problem

There is a type of decision known as a judgment call. Judgment calls are important decisions made all the time, about things like what stock to buy, when to perform surgery, and whether a potentially game-winning basketball shot made it through the hoop before the buzzer. Nevertheless, these decisions do have several things in common.

For instance

The stakes are high

The information you need is incomplete or ambiguous

a) Knowledgeable people disagree about them

b) There are often ethical dilemmas and/or conflicting values involved How can you make a judgment call with so much uncertainty surrounding the issue?

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