Suppose referendum to increase funding for education is on the ballot in a large town (population over 100,000). An exit poll of 500 voters finds that 245 voted for the referendum. How likely are the results of your sample if the population proportion of voters in the town in favor of the referendum is 0.51?
(a) The probability that more than 245 voted for the referendum is ?
(b) Based on the result, comment on the dangers of using exit polling to call elections.