Function of the criminal courts


Discuss the below:

Q1) UFO Sightings

Cases of UFO sightings are randomly selected and categorized according to month, with the result listed I the table below (based on the data  from Larry Hatch). Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that UFO sighings occur in the different months with equal frequency.  Is there any reasonable explanation for the two months that have the highest frequencies?

Month Jan Feb March April May  June  July  Aug Sept Oct Nov  Dec.
Number 1239 1111 1428 1276 1102 1225 2233 2012 1680 1994 1648 1125

Q2) M&M Candies

Mars, Inc. claims that its M&M plain candies are distributed with the following color percentages: 16% green, 20% orange, 14% yellow, 24% blue, 13% red, and 13% brown. Test the claim that the color distribution is as claimed by Mars, Inc. Use a 0.05 significance level.

Q3) Is Sentence Independent of Plea?

Many people believe that criminals who plead guilty tend to get lighter sentences than those who are convicted in trials. The accompanying table summarizes  randomly selected sampe data for San Francisco defendants in burglary cases (based on data from "Does it Pay to Plead Guilty? Differential Sentencing and the  Functioning of the Criminal Courts," by Brereton and Casper. Low and Society Review Vol. 16 No. 1). All the subjects had prior  prison sentences. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the sentence (sent to the prison) is independent of the plea. If you were an attorney  defending a guilty defendant, would these results suggest that you should encourage a guilty plea?

    Guilty Plea   Not Guilty   
Sent to Prison   392 58
Not Sent to Prison   564 14

Q4) Clinical Trial of Lipitor

Lipitor is the trade name of the drug atorvastatin, which is used to reduce cholesterol in patients. Adverse reactions have been studied in clinical trials, and the table  below summarizes results for infections in patients from different treatment groupls. Use 0.05 significance level to test the claim that getting an infection is  independent of the treatment. Does the atorvastatin treatment appear to have an effect on infections?

  Placebo Atorvastatin 10mg   Atorvastatin 40mg   Atorvastatin 80mg  
Infections 27 89 8 7
No Infection 243 774 71 87

a) Why One Test?

Refer to the sample data given in Q1. If we want to test for equality of the three means, why don't we use three separate hypothesis for µ1=µ3?

Data For Sample 1 400 B.C. 131 138 125 129 132 135 132 134 138


1850 B.C. 129 134 136 137 137 129 136 138 134


150 A.D. 128 138 136 139 141 142 137 145 137

TRUE OR FALSE?

1. More variation should be expected between larger samples, which is apparent by the chi-square distribution.

2. A test of independence can be used to determine a cause-and-effect link between the variables being studied.

3. Using the F distribution for a one-way ANOVA, the degrees of freedom for the denominator will always exceed the degrees of freedom for the numerator.

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Basic Statistics: Function of the criminal courts
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