Forecast the number of doctors


Question: Historical demand for the number of doctors on night shift in a local hospital is:

Week    Doctors
1    45
2    48
3    44
4    36
5    48
6    30

Forecast the number of doctors in week 7 by applying each of the following methods:

a. 4-period simple moving average method

b. 3-period weighted moving average method with weights 2,4,and 6

c. an exponential smoothing method with alpha = 0.4

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