Finding the standard deviation of returns


Assignment:

Discuss the below:

Q1. Suppose you have invested only in two stocks, A and B. The returns on the two stocks depend on the following three states of the economy, which are equally likely to happen:

State of                       Return on         Return on

Economy                     Stock A (%)         Stock B (%)

Bear                                  6.30                 _ 3.70

Normal                               10.50               6.40

Bull                                    15.60             25.30

a. Calculate the expected return on each stock.

b. Calculate the standard deviation of returns on each stock.

c. Calculate the covariance and correlation between the returns on the two stocks.

Q2. Security F has an expected return of 12 percent and a standard deviation of 9 percent per year. Security G has an expected return of 18 percent and a standard deviation of 25 percent per year.

a. What is the expected return on a portfolio composed of 30 percent of security F and 70 percent of security G?

b. If the correlation between the returns of security F and security G is 0.2, what is the standard deviation of the portfolio described in part (a)?

Q3. There are three securities in the market. The following chart shows their possible payoffs.

                 Probability        Return on             Return on               Return on

State          of Outcome     Security 1 (%)    Security 2 (%)      Security 3 (%)

   1                    0.1               0.25                      0.25                             0.10

    2                   0.4              0.20                        0.15                            0.15

   3                    0.4             0.15                          0.20                            0.20

   4                    0.1             0.10                          0.10                           0.25

a. What is the expected return and standard deviation of each security?

b. What are the covariances and correlations between the pairs of securities?

c. What is the expected return and standard deviation of a portfolio with half of its funds invested in security 1 and half in security 2?

d. What is the expected return and standard deviation of a portfolio with half of its funds invested in security 1 and half in security 3?

e. What is the expected return and standard deviation of a portfolio with half of its funds invested in security 2 and half in security 3?

f. What do your answers in parts (a), (c), (d), and (e) imply about diversification?

Q4. Assume there are N securities in the market. The expected return on every security is 10 percent. All securities also have the same variance of 0.0144.The covariance between any pair of securities is 0.0064.

a. What is the expected return and variance of an equally weighted portfolio containing all N securities? Note: the weight of each security in the portfolio is 1/N.

b. What will happen to the variance of the portfolio as N approaches infinity?

c. What characteristics of a security are most important in the determination of the variance of a well-diversified portfolio?

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Basic Statistics: Finding the standard deviation of returns
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