Find the probability of the sample proportion


Discuss the following:

Q1: If 70 percent or more of the old bricks in a brickyard meet certain standards, it will be profitable to hire persons to sort the bricks. According to past experience with this brickyard, on average 70% of all the old bricks meet these standards. A random sample of 100 old bricks is taken from all the (many, many) bricks in the brickyard and the bricks are examined to see if they meet the standards.

Let X = the number of bricks in the sample that meet the standards
Let (p-hat = the sample proportion of bricks meeting the standards

a) Explain how the sample proportion (p-hat) is distributed in this sample  (p-hat is a _____ RV with ______because....)

b) Find the probability that the sample proportion, p-hat is between 0.61 and 0.79.

c) If 60% of bricks are found to conform to the standards, is it likely that the true proportion of old bricks meeting the standards is at least 70%? Explain briefly.

Q2: In contract negotiations, a company claims that a new incentive scheme has resulted in average weekly earnings of at least $400 for all customer services workers. The union is skeptical. A union representative, recalling his college statistics course, decides to test the company's claim. She takes a random sample of 81 workers and finds that these workers have average weekly earnings of $385 with a sample standard deviation of $45. The representative uses H0: μ = $400 and HA < $400 and a significance level of 0.025.

a) Why didn't the union representative choose μ ≠ $400?

b) What is the appropriate estimator for this test? Explain exactly how the estimator is distributed for this hypothesis test. (____is a ____ RV with ____ because)

c) Write out the decision rule for this test.

d) Using a significance level of 0.025, should the null hypothesis be rejected?

e) Is the company's claim correct?

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Basic Statistics: Find the probability of the sample proportion
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