Find the binomial probabilities for number of boys


Discussion:

Q1: Fisher [1958] presented data of Geissler [1889] on the number of male births in German families with eight offspring. One model that might be considered for these data is the binomial distribution. This problem requires a goodness-of-fit test.

(a) Estimate π, the probability that a birth is male. This is done by using the estimate p = (total number of male births)/(total number of births). The data are given in Table 3.10.

(b) Using the p of part (a), find the binomial probabilities for number of boys = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8. Estimate the expected number of observations in each cell if the binomial distribution is correct.

Q2: Ounsted [1953] presents data about cases with convulsive disorders. Among the cases there were 82 females and 118 males. At the 5% significance level, test the hypothesis that a case is equally likely to be of either gender. The siblings of the cases were 121 females and 156 males. Test at the 10% significance level the hypothesis that the siblings represent 53% or more male births.

Q3:  In a dietary study, 14 of 20 subjects lost weight. If weight is assumed to fluctuate by chance, with probability ½ of losing weight, what is the exact two-sided p-value for testing the null hypothesis π = 1/2?

Table: Number of boys in family of eight children

Number of boys per   Empirical             Empirical Relative
Family of young      Frequency             Frequency
Children            (number of families)     of families

0                                    215                      0.040

I                                  1. 415                    0.0277

2                                   5, 331                   00993

3                                   10.649                  0.1984

4                                   11.959                   02787

5                                   11.929                   02222

6                                    6.678                  0.1244

7                                    2.092                  0.0190

8                                       342                  0.0064

Total                              53.680                   10000

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